Peer Comparisons of the
Investment Performance of the
University of California Retirement Plan (UCRP)>>
by Charles Schwartz, UC Berkeley, January 2007>
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>
Large
Comparison Groups>
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Table 1. Percentile
Ranking of UCRP Total Returns as of 6/30/2006
Comparison
Group
|
Size
of Group*
|
1
yr
|
2
yrs
|
3
yrs
|
4
yrs
|
5
yrs
|
7
yrs
|
10
yrs
|
All Master Trusts
|
603-333
|
72
|
54
|
56
|
48
|
69
|
59
|
28
|
Assets > $1 Billion
|
148-112
|
88
|
79
|
77
|
71
|
86
|
72
|
37
|
Public Funds
|
133-89
|
73
|
58
|
59
|
54
|
76
|
61
|
18
|
*First size is for 1-Year data, second size is for 10-Year data.
The above data are from the Trust Universe
Comparison Service (TUCS), prepared by State Street Bank & Trust,
UC’s custodial bank, and obtained after repeated requests to UC's
Office of the President (UCOP) under the California Public Records Act.
Percentile Ranking (a LOWER number means you are performing
BETTER than others)
1-25 means in the top quartile
25-50 means in the second quartile
50 means at the median
50-75 means in the third quartile
75-99 means in the lowest quartile
Summary of Table 1:
In all but one of the cumulative time periods looking back from 1-Year
to 7-Years, UCRP performance was below the median of each comparison
group, and sometimes it was in the lowest quartile. Looking back
over the 10-Year period, by contrast, the performance was in the first
or second quartile. In other words, there was outstanding
performance in that earlier period and poor performance since then.
The letter of transmittal from UCOP included
the following:
“I should caution you – as I have repeatedly – the Treasurer’s Office
has moved away from peer group comparisons and has discontinued its
subscription to the Trust Universe Comparison Service ("TUCS") Public
Fund Media report. The Treasurer’s Office has no more peer group
comparison information in its files beyond what has been produced to
date and has no plans to subscribe to any service providing peer group
comparison information in the future.”
- - - - -
California
Comparisons
Investment
Performance of UCRP v. CalPERS & CalSTRS
In a previous note I have shown that UCRP
total fund Returns have been well behind those of CalPERS (California
Public Employees Retirement System) and CalSTRS (California State
Teachers Retirement System) in each of the past three years (1-year
returns as of June 30, 2004, 2005, 2006). The official investment
policy statement adopted by the UC Regents [see footnotes below] says
that they do not concern themselves with peer or peer group
comparisons, because there may be different needs and goals for
different institutions. Instead, UC relies solely upon comparing
their investment performance to their own adopted benchmarks, and here
one does see that UCRP has performed ahead of its adopted benchmark in
each of these last three years.
This raises interesting questions about the
choice of benchmarks. I do not pretend to be expert enough to
make any direct criticism of what the Regents have chosen as their
investment benchmarks, based upon recommendations brought to them by
their own Treasurer and their outside investment consultant.
However, I can collect and compare benchmarks for some other
institutions. The Table below presents the data I have gathered from
available online publications of UC, CalPERS and CalSTRS.
Table 2. Comparative 1-Year
Investment Data as of the specified dates
|
6/30/2004
|
6/30/2005
|
6/30/2006
|
UCRP
|
|
|
|
Total Return
|
14.34%
|
10.3%
|
7.10%
|
Policy Benchmark
|
14.05%
|
9.82%
|
6.84%
|
|
|
|
|
CalPERS
|
|
|
|
Total Return *
|
16.6%
|
12.3%
|
12.26%
|
Policy Index
|
15.3%
|
11.4%
|
10.96%
|
|
|
|
|
CalSTRS
|
|
|
|
Total Return
|
17.4%
|
11.1%
|
13.2%
|
Policy Index
|
16.4%
|
9.9%
|
10.9%
|
*Note. The CalPERS data here are Gross (of fees), while UCRP data are
Net. This implies only a small correction above: CalPERS’ Net for 2006
is given as 11.94%.
What we see in Table 2
are several lines of comparison:
a) As noted
previously, UCRP Returns are significantly lower than CalPERS’ and
CalSTRS’ Returns each year.
b) UCRP’s Policy Benchmarks are significantly lower
than CalPERS’ and CalSTRS’ Benchmarks each year (with one exception out
of six comparisons).
c) CalPERS’ and CalSTRS’ Returns exceed their own
Benchmarks by a significantly greater margin than UCRP exceeds its own
Benchmark, in each year.
If we go back another year, to 6/30/03, the
comparisons are completely reversed; UCRP did better than the others
and its benchmark was higher and it exceeded its benchmark by a wider
margin.
I think the UC Regents should ask their
investment advisors (the Treasurer and outside consultant) to examine
this data, along with any other data they might think relevant, and
give a public accounting of what appear to be major shortcomings in the
overall UCRP investment program.
Why would one want to set low
benchmarks? One possible answer is that it means taking lower
risk. One might also ask whether those who are involved in setting the
benchmark have any self-interest in the matter. Certainly those
who are paid on the basis of outperforming the benchmark would gain
from a lower benchmark; and others in the chain of responsibility might
just like to look better by the lower standard.
Footnotes
Relevant excerpts from the Regents’ UCRP Investment Policy
Statement:
Peer risk refers to the difference
in Retirement Fund performance relative to peer institutions. The
Committee acknowledges that similar institutions may have different
liabilities and different levels of investment risk. Comparisons of
performance with other institutions are meaningful only after adjusting
for differences in investment policy and risk among peers. This risk is
the responsibility of the Committee.
The Committee shall review the investments of the
Retirement Fund no less than quarterly to assess whether policy
guidelines continue to be appropriate and are met. The Committee shall
monitor investment risk, as well as monitor investment returns on an
absolute and benchmark relative basis.
The Regents’ Committee on Investments had its last quarterly review
meeting in August 2006. The usual November meeting was skipped and the
next one is not expected until March 2007.