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   Author  Topic: Bus stop  (Read 707 times)
Altamira_64
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Bus stop  
« on: Jul 3rd, 2012, 1:58pm »
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A public bus arrives at the bus stop sometime between 6:00 and 6:30.
A passenger arrives at the same bus stop some random time within this time interval. What is the probability that the passenger catches the bus within 5 minutes from the time he arrives at the stop?
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towr
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Re: Bus stop  
« Reply #1 on: Jul 3rd, 2012, 10:23pm »
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I get 11/36, by drawing a diagram
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Altamira_64
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Re: Bus stop  
« Reply #2 on: Jul 4th, 2012, 1:05am »
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Well, I get 11/72, which one is correct??
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rmsgrey
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Re: Bus stop  
« Reply #3 on: Jul 4th, 2012, 3:30am »
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I get 11/72, assuming that the passenger can't catch the bus when the bus arrives first; 11/36 if the bus waits 5 minutes at the stop.
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towr
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Re: Bus stop  
« Reply #4 on: Jul 4th, 2012, 8:43am »
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I thought it was a bit high...
I had (30*30/2-25*25/2)/900, and somehow ended up with 275/900 (or in other words, I neglected to divide 900-625=275 by 2) Roll Eyes
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Altamira_64
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Re: Bus stop  
« Reply #5 on: Jul 4th, 2012, 9:49am »
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I assume that the bus can't wait for the passenger, if it arrives first. It has to go.
 
So I guess that for the first 25 minutes (25/30 of the total time) the probability is stable, 25/30, that is, 1/6.
For the last 5 mins (5/30 of the total time), it decreases linearly and eventually gets to zero.  
In effect, the total probability is:
25/30 * 1/6 + 5/30 * 1/6 * 1/2 = 11/72.
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rmsgrey
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Re: Bus stop  
« Reply #6 on: Jul 6th, 2012, 5:10am »
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I solved it with a diagram - plot bus arrival time against passenger arrival time, and you get a strip between tB=tP and tB=tP+5, the area of which is 1/2 - (1/2)(5/6)(5/6) (the triangle from the main diagonal less the triangle from the other diagonal line) or 11/72
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lopez
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Re: Bus stop  
« Reply #7 on: Jul 12th, 2012, 3:05am »
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I get 11/72 Roll Eyes
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